After a very active Monday around the Valley and state, conditions have been a tad quieter much of today.
However, there's still plenty of moisture in place and we're seeing the atmosphere become a little unstable thanks to some daytime heating so storms are beginning to fire.
As we head through the evening the potential is there for pop-up storms to develop in areas just to the south and east of the Valley. We could also see some cells move into the Valley. These storms could produce areas of very heavy rain and there is the threat some of the stronger storms could produce severe wind gusts. We'll also have to be on the lookout for areas of blowing dust.
Be aware that in these conditions storms and hazardous weather can develop very quickly. Be prepared to find shelter should any of these storms move into your area.
Flash Flood Watches continue for Mohave, Coconino, and Yavapai Counties until 10pm tonight. Storms could continue to develop in those areas this evening and with all of the available moisture, they could produce heavy rain.
The Yarnell Hill fire area and Doce Burn area may be susceptible to major problems with flooding. Debris flows and mudslides will be possible in these areas should we see heavy rain nearby.
With slightly drier air still trying to move in from the east, any remaining storm activity will wind down overnight and Wednesday morning will start off quiet with temperatures in the low to mid 80s.
However, we'll start to see monsoon moisture gradually increase again by the afternoon. This will bring back the threat for afternoon scattered showers and storms, especially across the higher elevations in our state. A few storms could develop closer to the Valley as well bringing the threat for heavy rain, strong winds, and blowing dust.
Weather models continue to indicate that by Thursday and Friday our moisture and rain chances will ramp up further thanks to remnants from Tropical Storm Fernand moving toward our state. There's a chance we could see more widespread storm activity across the state by the end of the week.
With storm chances returning back to the forecast from the middle to later parts of the week, high temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 90s heading into the weekend, with highs near 100 degrees Saturday and Sunday.